Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000263 0.000294 0.000327 0.000365 0.000409 0.000457 0.000513
2025-01-26 0.000207 0.000251 0.000303 0.000369 0.000451 0.000551 0.000682
2025-02-02 0.000180 0.000231 0.000296 0.000386 0.000506 0.000663 0.000886
2025-02-09 0.000153 0.000207 0.000278 0.000381 0.000528 0.000733 0.001046
2025-02-16 0.000137 0.000192 0.000268 0.000385 0.000559 0.000817 0.001233
2025-02-23 0.000122 0.000176 0.000256 0.000381 0.000578 0.000883 0.001403
2025-03-02 0.000111 0.000166 0.000248 0.000384 0.000605 0.000964 0.001608
2025-03-09 0.000101 0.000156 0.000240 0.000382 0.000626 0.001035 0.001807
2025-03-16 0.000089 0.000141 0.000223 0.000365 0.000616 0.001055 0.001916
2025-03-23 0.000083 0.000134 0.000217 0.000367 0.000640 0.001135 0.002148
2025-03-30 0.000080 0.000132 0.000219 0.000382 0.000687 0.001263 0.002496
2025-04-06 0.000073 0.000123 0.000209 0.000373 0.000690 0.001308 0.002681
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000112 0.000195 0.000355 0.000674 0.001316 0.002796
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000108 0.000191 0.000358 0.000703 0.001420 0.003147
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000107 0.000195 0.000375 0.000759 0.001592 0.003693
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000102 0.000188 0.000371 0.000772 0.001669 0.004024
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000098 0.000185 0.000374 0.000801 0.001789 0.004488
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000093 0.000179 0.000371 0.000814 0.001873 0.004877
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000090 0.000177 0.000373 0.000841 0.001994 0.005396
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000087 0.000172 0.000372 0.000859 0.002097 0.005889
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000080 0.000162 0.000355 0.000837 0.002091 0.006050
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000078 0.000160 0.000357 0.000862 0.002216 0.006653
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000077 0.000162 0.000371 0.000921 0.002443 0.007646